Price Trend

According to the price monitoring of business associations, the price of calcium carbide manufactured in Northwest China fell slightly this week. This week, the average price quoted by mainstream carbide producers fell from 2900.00 yuan/ton at the beginning of the week to 2883.33 yuan/ton at the end of the week, a decline of 0.57%, down 1.96% from the same period last year. Overall, the market of calcium carbide fell slightly this week, with the index of calcium carbide commodities at 75.55 on August 23.

II. Trend Analysis

(1) Products:

This week’s northwest region calcium carbide factory price fell: Ovidiang’s weekend calcium carbide quotation was 2850 yuan/ton, compared with the beginning of the week, the quotation fell 50 yuan/ton; Shaanxi coal industry’s weekend calcium carbide quotation was 2750 yuan/ton, compared with the beginning of the week, the quotation fell 50 yuan/ton; Inner Mongolia China Federation’s calcium carbide quotation was 2850 yuan/ton this week, the quotation was temporarily stable; This week, the price of Calcium Carbide is 2950 yuan/ton. The price is stable for the time being.

This weekend, the actual transaction price of calcium carbide in Northwest China is about 2700-2900 yuan/ton: the mainstream transaction price of calcium carbide in Shaanxi is about 2700-2850 yuan/ton; the mainstream transaction price of calcium carbide in Ningxia is about 2900 yuan/ton; the mainstream transaction price of calcium carbide in Inner Mongolia is about 2800 yuan/ton, and the actual transaction price is mainly negotiated.

(2) Industrial chain:

Upstream Raw Material Market: The quotation for coke ex-factory this week is tentatively stable, at 1916.67 yuan/ton, down 18.53% from the same period last year. Compared with last year, the price of raw materials in the upstream has fallen considerably and the cost support is insufficient, which has a negative impact on the price of calcium carbide.

Gamma PGA

Downstream market: PVC ex-factory prices fell slightly this week. The price of PVC fell from 6755.00 yuan/ton at the beginning of the week to 6705.00 yuan/ton at the end of the week, down 50 yuan/ton, or 0.74%, 5.95% compared with the same period last year. The price of downstream PVC has not increased enough. Compared with last year, the price has fallen considerably. The downstream customers are generally interested in the purchase of calcium carbide. As a whole, this week’s PVC market has a negative impact on the price of calcium carbide.

3. Future Market Forecast

After the adjustment in July, the capital reflux of each factory is in good condition, the equipment has been repaired and the production capacity has increased. Compared with last year, the price of raw materials in the upstream is low and consolidated. Compared with last year, the price has fallen considerably, the cost support is not enough, and the positive impact on the price of calcium carbide is limited. The price of PVC in the downstream has started to fall, and the year-on-year decline is larger. The downstream customers have a general enthusiasm for the purchase of calcium carbide. Later market forecast that the price of calcium carbide in the northwest region will fluctuate and fall in late August, but the decline is not significant, and the ex-factory price may remain around 2850 yuan/ton.